Part of Water

Water indicators – Water yield

Water quantity monitoring results for annual and seasonal water yield.

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About the indicator

Water yield is an estimate of freshwater input (for example, rain, snow and snowmelt) flowing into streams and rivers. Many factors affect water yield, including precipitation, temperature, watershed size and location, and primary water source (in other words, rainfall or snowmelt).

Water yield also varies spatially across the province and seasonally throughout the year. For example, winter flows between January and March are typically low as precipitation is falling as snow and ice forms on rivers. Water flow peaks in the spring and early summer.

The amount of and any changes in water yield can affect both natural ecosystems and communities. For example, spring flows between April and June that are driven by snowmelt and rain are important for water management strategies such as filling reservoirs to redistribute water to typically lower-flow seasons. July to September summer flows are critical for economic sectors such as agriculture, and recreational pursuits such as fishing and boating. October to December represent autumn flows, which are typically low as temperatures drop and precipitation shifts from rain to snow. Winter flows (January to March) are typically the lowest of the year and are maintained by groundwater stores from the previous spring and summer, but are critical for aquatic ecosystems and municipal uses.

Surface water quantity is evaluated by the Government of Alberta using data from hydrometric stations across the province, which are monitored in partnership with the Water Survey of Canada.

Two types of water quantity parameters are evaluated for each hydrometric station:

  • Annual water yields – tell us the total amount of water every year (October 1 to September 30).
  • Seasonal water yields – give us an indication of winter, spring, summer and autumn water availability.

Annual and seasonal yields on unregulated rivers are primarily affected by climate variability, while regulated rivers may be affected by both climate variability and water management strategies (for example, hydroelectric dams).

This indicator reports on annual and seasonal water yields for 2020 as well as trends in water yield across Alberta over a 40-year period (1981 to 2020).

Results

Figure 1. Annual water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

Figure 1. Annual water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

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Figure 2. Winter (JFM) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

Figure 2. Winter (JFM) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

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Figure 3. Spring (AMJ) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

Figure 3. Spring (AMJ) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

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Figure 4. Summer (JAS) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

Figure 4. Summer (JAS) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

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Figure 5. Autumn (OND) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

Figure 5. Autumn (OND) water yield anomalies for 2020, relative to long term (1981-2019) mean

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Figure 6. Trends in annual water yield over 1981-2020

Figure 6. Trends in annual water yield over 1981-2020

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Figure 7. Trends in winter (JFM) water yield over 1981-2020

Figure 7. Trends in winter (JFM) water yield over 1981-2020

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Figure 8. Trends in spring (AMJ) water yield over 1981-2020

Figure 8. Trends in spring (AMJ) water yield over 1981-2020

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Figure 9. Trends in summer (JAS) water yield over 1981-2020

Figure 9. Trends in summer (JAS) water yield over 1981-2020

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Figure 10. Trends in autumn (OND) water yield over 1981-2020

Figure 10. Trends in autumn (OND) water yield over 1981-2020

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Data collection and analysis

Surface water quantity is evaluated by AEP using data from hydrometric stations across the province, which are monitored in partnership with the Water Survey of Canada.

We selected stations that have long-term data records of at least 40 years (1981 to 2020) and no more than 3 years of missing data. Streamflow monitoring stations are either operated annually or seasonally (April to October). There are a mix of stations on the mainstem of major rivers including the Slave, Peace, Athabasca, North Saskatchewan, Beaver, Red Deer, Bow, Oldman and South Saskatchewan Rivers, and their tributaries.

Water quantity indicators are evaluated annually and seasonally. The number of stations included in analyses varies annually and seasonally due to data availability, and include 37 for annual, 39 for winter and autumn, 93 for spring and 102 for summer (Table 6).

Watershed areas, the land surface areas that contribute to a given river, range in size from larger areas encompassing more than 20,000 km2 to smaller watersheds with an area less than 1000 km2.

Regulated rivers are those that are controlled by a structure such as a hydroelectric dam or diversion dam, and many have accompanying reservoirs. A river is considered regulated if any point upstream of the hydrometric station is regulated. Thirty-three of the stations included in analyses are regulated; 15 of which are monitored annually and 9 are large rivers (> 20,000 km2).

Streamflow is often reported as a flow rate in cubic meters per second (m3/s). For this analysis, we convert either the annual or seasonal mean flow rate for the stations used to a water yield in millimetres (mm). A water yield standardizes the annual total streamflow volume to the size of the watershed. This conversion allows comparison among watersheds of different size as streamflow on large rivers is orders of magnitude greater than smaller tributaries.

Water quantity trends at each station were evaluated using the Mann-Kendall nonparametric test for trend performed in R2 using the ‘zyp’ statistics package3. Trend magnitudes were determined using Sen’s slope estimator. This is a statistical test that shows if yields have decreased, stayed the same or increased for the period 1981 to 2020. A significance value attached to the tests shows how robust the trends detected by the analysis are. For this analysis, a significance value of less than 0.1 indicates a statistically significant trend.

Footnotes:

  1. There was a structural failure on the St. Mary Canal which diverts water to the Milk River, in May 2020 and repairs were completed October 2020. Consequently, these two rivers were excluded from annual, spring, and summer analyses (https://www.mrwcc.ca/)
  2. R Core Team (2020). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. URL https://www.R-project.org/.
  3. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=zyp

Water monitoring

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